Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1930 |
HUN
0 - 5
ITA
60%
19%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1930 |
CSK
1 - 1
HUN
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
SUI
2 - 2
HUN
34%
22%
44%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
52%
21%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1929 |
CSK
1 - 1
HUN
64%
18%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1930 |
AUT
0 - 0
ENG
51%
21%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
CSK
2 - 2
AUT
58%
20%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
SUI
1 - 3
AUT
32%
23%
45%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
52%
21%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1929 |
AUT
2 - 1
CSK
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |