Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1929 |
CSK
1 - 1
HUN
64%
18%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1929 |
SUI
4 - 5
HUN
38%
22%
40%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
FRA
3 - 0
HUN
31%
22%
47%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1928 |
HUN
3 - 1
SUI
76%
14%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1929 |
AUT
2 - 1
CSK
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
AUT
3 - 0
ITA
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1929 |
CSK
3 - 3
AUT
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1928 |
ITA
2 - 2
AUT
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |