Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1923 |
HUN
3 - 1
FIN
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1923 |
AUT
1 - 0
HUN
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1923 |
SUI
1 - 6
HUN
41%
23%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1923 |
ITA
0 - 0
HUN
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1922 |
HUN
1 - 2
AUT
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1923 |
AUT
2 - 1
FIN
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
4 - 2
AUT
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1923 |
AUT
1 - 0
HUN
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1923 |
AUT
0 - 0
ITA
61%
20%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1923 |
SUI
2 - 0
AUT
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |