Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1917 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1917 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
76%
13%
10%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1917 |
AUT
1 - 4
HUN
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
HUN
6 - 2
AUT
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1917 |
AUT
1 - 1
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1917 |
SUI
3 - 2
AUT
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1917 |
SUI
0 - 1
AUT
53%
21%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1917 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
49%
21%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1917 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
76%
13%
10%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1917 |
AUT
1 - 4
HUN
54%
20%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |