Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1914 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1914 |
HUN
2 - 2
AUT
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1914 |
SWE
1 - 1
HUN
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1914 |
HUN
5 - 1
FRA
76%
14%
11%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1914 |
AUT
2 - 0
HUN
49%
21%
30%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1914 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1914 |
HUN
2 - 2
AUT
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1914 |
AUT
2 - 0
HUN
49%
21%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1914 |
ITA
0 - 0
AUT
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1913 |
HUN
4 - 3
AUT
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |