Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1913 |
HUN
2 - 0
SWE
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1913 |
AUT
1 - 4
HUN
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1912 |
HUN
4 - 0
AUT
76%
14%
11%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1912 |
RUS
0 - 12
HUN
49%
21%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 1912 |
RUS
0 - 9
HUN
53%
21%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1913 |
AUT
2 - 0
ITA
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1913 |
AUT
1 - 4
HUN
53%
20%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1912 |
ITA
1 - 3
AUT
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1912 |
HUN
4 - 0
AUT
76%
14%
11%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 1912 |
AUT
1 - 0
NOR
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |