Hungary vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1907 |
GER
5 - 3
HUN
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1907 |
AUT
3 - 1
HUN
62%
18%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1907 |
HUN
5 - 2
GER
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1906 |
HUN
3 - 1
AUT
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1906 |
BOH
4 - 4
HUN
65%
18%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1907 |
AUT
3 - 1
HUN
62%
18%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1906 |
HUN
3 - 1
AUT
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1905 |
HUN
0 - 0
AUT
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1904 |
AUT
5 - 4
HUN
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1904 |
HUN
3 - 0
AUT
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |