Hungary vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
SUI
1 - 2
HUN
43%
21%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
GER
7 - 0
HUN
66%
16%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
BGR
1 - 1
HUN
33%
21%
46%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
CRO
1 - 1
HUN
46%
21%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
ITA
1 - 1
HUN
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
GER
1 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
GER
1 - 2
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1942 |
CRO
0 - 2
GER
45%
22%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
GER
4 - 0
SVK
80%
12%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
GER
1 - 1
DEN
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |