Hungary vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
HUN
0 - 0
YUG
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
HUN
2 - 0
ROU
77%
13%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1940 |
HUN
1 - 0
CRO
72%
15%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
GER
2 - 2
HUN
62%
18%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
HUN
3 - 0
SUI
78%
12%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1940 |
SVK
0 - 1
GER
42%
22%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1940 |
GER
13 - 0
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1940 |
GER
9 - 3
ROU
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
ITA
3 - 2
GER
68%
17%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
GER
1 - 2
YUG
82%
11%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |