Hungary vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1935 |
ITA
2 - 2
HUN
66%
17%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
HUN
6 - 1
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
AUT
4 - 4
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
HUN
1 - 0
CSK
58%
19%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1935 |
NOR
2 - 0
HUN
49%
20%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1936 |
POR
1 - 3
GER
38%
22%
40%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 2
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1935 |
ENG
3 - 0
GER
61%
18%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1935 |
GER
4 - 2
BGR
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1935 |
GER
3 - 0
LVA
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |