Hungary vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.1%
10.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1921 |
AUT
4 - 1
HUN
49%
22%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1920 |
HUN
1 - 2
AUT
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1920 |
GER
1 - 0
HUN
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1920 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
45%
22%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1919 |
HUN
3 - 2
AUT
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1921 |
GER
3 - 3
AUT
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1920 |
GER
1 - 0
HUN
39%
23%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1920 |
AUT
3 - 2
GER
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1920 |
SUI
4 - 1
GER
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1914 |
NED
4 - 4
GER
77%
13%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |