Hungary vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
14.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1911 |
GER
1 - 4
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1911 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
HUN
9 - 0
SUI
65%
18%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1911 |
AUT
3 - 1
HUN
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1911 |
SUI
2 - 0
HUN
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1912 |
NED
5 - 5
GER
76%
13%
10%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1911 |
GER
1 - 4
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
GER
1 - 3
SWE
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1911 |
GER
1 - 2
AUT
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1911 |
SWE
2 - 4
GER
57%
20%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |