Hungary vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.77
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
4 - 2
URU
83%
10%
7%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
4 - 2
BRA
78%
12%
10%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
8 - 3
BRD
87%
8%
5%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
9 - 0
KOR
90%
7%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
HUN
7 - 1
ENG
71%
14%
14%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
6 - 1
AUT
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
7 - 2
TUR
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
8 - 3
BRD
87%
8%
5%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
4 - 1
TUR
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |