Hungary vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
9 - 0
KOR
90%
7%
4%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
HUN
7 - 1
ENG
71%
14%
14%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
41%
21%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1954 |
EGY
0 - 3
HUN
23%
20%
57%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1953 |
ENG
3 - 6
HUN
58%
18%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
4 - 1
TUR
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 3
BRD
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
BRD
5 - 1
NOR
71%
16%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
BRD
3 - 0
PDS
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1953 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRD
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |