Netherlands vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
50.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1964 |
DDR
3 - 1
NED
33%
21%
47%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1964 |
NED
0 - 1
DDR
76%
13%
11%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
NED
1 - 1
AUT
45%
22%
33%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
BEL
0 - 0
NED
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1963 |
LUX
2 - 1
NED
48%
19%
34%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
SWE
2 - 1
GER
62%
18%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
41%
22%
38%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
DEN
2 - 2
SWE
38%
22%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
SWE
3 - 2
YUG
59%
20%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1963 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | -1 |