Netherlands vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
BEL
4 - 2
NED
63%
17%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
NED
6 - 7
BEL
65%
17%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1951 |
NED
4 - 4
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1951 |
NED
2 - 3
NOR
70%
15%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
NED
5 - 4
BEL
62%
18%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1952 |
FRA
0 - 1
SWE
43%
21%
36%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1951 |
TUR
1 - 0
SWE
42%
21%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
72%
15%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
DEN
3 - 1
SWE
51%
20%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
SWE
3 - 4
NOR
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |