Netherlands vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1908 |
GBR
4 - 0
NED
31%
23%
47%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1908 |
NED
4 - 1
FRA
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1908 |
NED
1 - 3
BEL
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1908 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
ENG
12 - 2
NED
5%
16%
79%
|
76 | 23 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1908 |
GBR
12 - 1
SWE
30%
24%
47%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1908 |
SWE
11 - 3
NOR
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |