Netherlands vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1974 |
NED
4 - 1
ARG
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
NED
1 - 1
AUT
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
NED
0 - 0
BEL
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1973 |
NED
1 - 1
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
NOR
1 - 2
NED
37%
24%
40%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1974 |
ROU
3 - 1
GRC
70%
17%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1974 |
ARG
2 - 1
ROU
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
2 - 0
ROU
80%
15%
6%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
FRA
1 - 0
ROU
57%
23%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
ROU
9 - 0
FIN
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |