Netherlands vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
NED
3 - 0
IRN
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
AUT
0 - 1
NED
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
TUN
0 - 4
NED
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 2
NED
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
PER
3 - 1
SCO
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1978 |
BRA
3 - 0
PER
82%
14%
4%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
PER
2 - 1
CHN
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1978 |
MEX
0 - 1
PER
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
PER
1 - 1
BGR
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |