Netherlands vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
NED
5 - 2
GER
51%
21%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1936 |
LUX
1 - 5
NED
32%
21%
47%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
NED
8 - 0
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1936 |
NED
1 - 0
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 3
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
NOR
0 - 2
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 2
POL
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
71%
15%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1936 |
GER
0 - 2
NOR
69%
16%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +2 |