Netherlands vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
NED
2 - 0
CHI
64%
20%
16%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
AUS
2 - 3
NED
10%
17%
74%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 5
NED
55%
22%
23%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
NED
2 - 0
WAL
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
NED
1 - 0
GHA
85%
12%
4%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 3
MEX
42%
25%
34%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
MEX
78%
15%
8%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
MEX
1 - 0
CMR
65%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
MEX
0 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
MEX
0 - 1
BIH
73%
17%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | -1 |