Netherlands vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
12.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
BGR
2 - 0
NED
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
LUX
0 - 2
NED
43%
21%
36%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1968 |
ROU
0 - 0
NED
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1968 |
NED
0 - 0
SCO
37%
24%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1968 |
POL
0 - 0
NED
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
DEN
5 - 1
LUX
76%
13%
11%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
LUX
0 - 2
NED
43%
21%
36%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
FRA
3 - 1
LUX
79%
12%
9%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1967 |
BEL
3 - 0
LUX
76%
14%
10%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
LUX
0 - 0
POL
37%
21%
42%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |