EC Qualifying Etapas finales Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Netherlands vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.1%
13.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1963 |
NED
1 - 0
BRA
22%
21%
57%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1963 |
NED
1 - 0
FRA
50%
21%
28%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
SUI
1 - 1
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
NED
0 - 1
BEL
61%
18%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
NED
3 - 1
SUI
67%
16%
17%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
LUX
1 - 3
SUN
39%
22%
39%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
LUX
4 - 2
POR
50%
20%
30%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 1961 |
ENG
4 - 1
LUX
90%
6%
3%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
POR
6 - 0
LUX
70%
15%
15%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
LUX
0 - 9
ENG
27%
21%
52%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |