Netherlands vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
BEL
7 - 1
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1939 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
44%
21%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
NED
3 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
BEL
5 - 4
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
NED
3 - 2
HUN
46%
20%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
LUX
2 - 1
GER
27%
21%
52%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GER
2 - 1
LUX
85%
9%
6%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
LUX
2 - 3
BEL
48%
20%
32%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
LUX
0 - 6
HUN
26%
20%
54%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
NED
4 - 0
LUX
81%
11%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |