Netherlands vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
NED
2 - 0
WAL
76%
17%
7%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2008 |
NED
1 - 1
DEN
62%
22%
16%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
NED
3 - 0
UKR
78%
16%
6%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
AUT
3 - 4
NED
16%
24%
61%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 3
NED
28%
27%
45%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2008 |
ITA
3 - 1
BEL
67%
21%
12%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
51%
26%
23%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 1
FRO
78%
17%
6%
|
97 | 52 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
SCO
1 - 2
ITA
22%
27%
51%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |