Netherlands vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
LVA
0 - 2
NED
6%
15%
79%
|
94 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
NED
3 - 4
USA
73%
17%
10%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
NED
2 - 0
ESP
36%
24%
40%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NED
1 - 1
TUR
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NED
6 - 0
LVA
89%
9%
2%
|
94 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
ISL
2 - 1
CZE
20%
25%
56%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ISL
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
KAZ
0 - 3
ISL
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
ISL
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 2
ISL
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |