Netherlands vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.8%
Win probability
4.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.4%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.7%
8-0
2.8%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.6%
7-0
5%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.6%
6-0
7.7%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
10.7%
5-0
10.2%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
14.9%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
3.3%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
3.3%
1.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
BEL
0 - 2
NED
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
ENG
0 - 2
NED
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
NED
2 - 2
NIR
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1976 |
ISL
0 - 1
NED
20%
24%
56%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1976 |
NED
3 - 2
YUG
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1977 |
ISL
0 - 1
SWE
21%
24%
56%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
ISL
2 - 1
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1977 |
ISL
1 - 0
NIR
26%
23%
50%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1976 |
ISL
0 - 1
NED
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
ISL
0 - 1
BEL
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |