Netherlands vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NED
2 - 1
TUR
75%
15%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
ROU
0 - 3
NED
12%
18%
71%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
NED
2 - 3
AUT
73%
16%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
NED
0 - 0
FRA
45%
24%
31%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
NED
19%
21%
60%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 1
SUI
61%
21%
18%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 1
SVK
77%
16%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 0
SVN
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 1
ENG
25%
23%
52%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SRB
0 - 1
ENG
19%
21%
60%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |