Netherlands vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
39.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1935 |
BEL
0 - 2
NED
43%
21%
37%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
70%
15%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
NED
2 - 3
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
NED
2 - 4
HUN
47%
21%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
SUI
2 - 4
NED
46%
21%
34%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1935 |
ENG
1 - 0
SCO
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1935 |
SCO
2 - 0
ENG
39%
22%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1935 |
ENG
2 - 1
NIR
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1934 |
ENG
3 - 2
ITA
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1934 |
WAL
0 - 4
ENG
30%
21%
49%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |