Netherlands vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1966 |
SCO
0 - 3
NED
71%
17%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
NED
3 - 1
BEL
45%
23%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
NED
2 - 4
BRD
35%
24%
42%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
54%
20%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
NED
0 - 0
SUI
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
HUN
46%
22%
32%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
HUN
3 - 1
BGR
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1966 |
HUN
3 - 1
BRA
72%
15%
13%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
POR
3 - 1
HUN
39%
23%
39%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
HUN
3 - 1
SUI
91%
7%
3%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |