Netherlands vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
DEN
2 - 2
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
CSK
3 - 0
NED
59%
19%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1938 |
NED
1 - 3
SCO
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
35%
21%
44%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
NED
7 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1938 |
SCO
3 - 1
HUN
50%
21%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1938 |
ITA
4 - 2
HUN
64%
17%
19%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1938 |
HUN
5 - 1
SWE
65%
16%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1938 |
HUN
2 - 0
SUI
80%
11%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
HUN
6 - 0
IDN
87%
8%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |