Netherlands vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
20%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
8.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
POR
1 - 0
NED
34%
30%
37%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
ITA
1 - 0
NED
57%
25%
18%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1990 |
BRD
2 - 1
NED
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1990 |
IRL
1 - 1
NED
39%
28%
33%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1990 |
ENG
0 - 0
NED
59%
24%
18%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
GRC
4 - 0
MLT
87%
9%
4%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
GRC
6 - 1
EGY
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
GRC
1 - 0
ALB
83%
11%
6%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
GRC
2 - 1
ISR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1990 |
GRC
2 - 0
BEL
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +2 |