Netherlands vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1992 |
NED
3 - 2
AUT
60%
24%
16%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
NED
2 - 0
YUG
44%
28%
29%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1992 |
POR
2 - 0
NED
31%
30%
40%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
GRC
0 - 2
NED
27%
27%
46%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
NED
1 - 0
POR
62%
24%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1992 |
ROU
5 - 1
WAL
58%
25%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1992 |
AUT
1 - 1
WAL
56%
26%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1992 |
IRL
0 - 1
WAL
59%
25%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 0
LUX
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 36 | 49 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
GER
4 - 1
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |