Netherlands vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.8%
19.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
NED
3 - 3
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
39%
21%
41%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1948 |
GBR
4 - 3
NED
44%
21%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1948 |
NED
3 - 1
IRL
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1948 |
NED
1 - 0
SWE
48%
20%
32%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
FRA
3 - 3
BEL
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1948 |
GBR
1 - 0
FRA
50%
20%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1948 |
FRA
2 - 1
IND
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1948 |
CSK
0 - 4
FRA
69%
15%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
BEL
4 - 2
FRA
40%
21%
39%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |