Netherlands vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
BEL
2 - 4
NED
46%
21%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
NED
5 - 2
IRL
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
NED
9 - 3
BEL
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
NED
0 - 1
AUT
36%
22%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
LUX
1 - 6
FRA
52%
20%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
FRA
1 - 2
CSK
37%
23%
40%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
FRA
0 - 1
SUI
62%
18%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
BEL
2 - 3
FRA
64%
17%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1933 |
ENG
4 - 1
FRA
77%
13%
11%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |