Netherlands vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1922 |
SUI
5 - 0
NED
36%
23%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1922 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
NED
2 - 0
DEN
61%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1922 |
BEL
4 - 0
NED
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1921 |
FRA
0 - 5
NED
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1923 |
BEL
4 - 1
FRA
71%
15%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1923 |
ESP
3 - 0
FRA
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1922 |
NOR
7 - 0
FRA
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1922 |
FRA
0 - 4
ESP
44%
23%
32%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1922 |
FRA
2 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |