Netherlands vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1908 |
NED
1 - 3
BEL
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1908 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
ENG
12 - 2
NED
5%
16%
79%
|
76 | 23 | 53 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1907 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1907 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1908 |
FRA
1 - 2
BEL
60%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1908 |
SUI
1 - 2
FRA
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1907 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1906 |
FRA
0 - 5
BEL
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1905 |
BEL
7 - 0
FRA
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |