Netherlands vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
14.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
WAL
1 - 2
NED
29%
29%
42%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
NED
2 - 2
DEN
62%
24%
15%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
FIN
0 - 1
NED
22%
27%
51%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
NED
1 - 1
BRD
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1989 |
NED
2 - 0
SUN
39%
29%
32%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
TTO
2 - 0
FIN
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
TTO
0 - 1
FIN
48%
23%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
BRD
6 - 1
FIN
86%
11%
3%
|
69 | 94 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
FIN
1 - 0
WAL
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
FIN
2 - 2
YUG
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | +1 |