Netherlands vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1975 |
YUG
3 - 0
NED
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1975 |
BRD
1 - 1
NED
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 0
NED
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
NED
3 - 1
ITA
39%
27%
33%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1974 |
NED
1 - 0
SUI
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1975 |
DEN
2 - 0
FIN
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1975 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1975 |
FIN
0 - 1
ITA
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 91 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1975 |
FIN
3 - 5
NOR
58%
21%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1974 |
POL
3 - 0
FIN
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | -1 |