Netherlands vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
NED
2 - 0
ESP
36%
24%
40%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NED
1 - 1
TUR
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NED
6 - 0
LVA
89%
9%
2%
|
94 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
NED
2 - 3
MEX
65%
21%
15%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
ISL
2 - 0
NED
7%
16%
77%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
SUI
1 - 1
USA
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
DEN
3 - 2
USA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
USA
2 - 0
PAN
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 2
USA
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |