Netherlands vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
35%
21%
44%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
NED
7 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
NED
4 - 0
LUX
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1937 |
NED
2 - 3
FRA
72%
14%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1938 |
ENG
0 - 1
SCO
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1937 |
SCO
5 - 0
CSK
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1937 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1937 |
WAL
2 - 1
SCO
40%
22%
37%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1937 |
CSK
1 - 3
SCO
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |