Netherlands vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BEL
2 - 3
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1958 |
NOR
0 - 0
NED
49%
21%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
NED
1 - 2
TUR
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1958 |
NED
8 - 1
CUW
77%
12%
11%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
BEL
2 - 7
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1958 |
DEN
1 - 1
GER
32%
22%
46%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
FIN
1 - 4
DEN
40%
22%
38%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
DEN
1 - 2
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
DEN
3 - 2
POL
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1958 |
DEN
3 - 2
ANT
83%
10%
7%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |