Netherlands vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 3
NED
74%
14%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
SUI
3 - 1
NED
66%
16%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1954 |
SWE
6 - 1
NED
84%
9%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 0
NED
69%
16%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
51%
20%
29%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
DEN
0 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SWE
5 - 2
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
DEN
1 - 1
SUI
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
FIN
2 - 2
DEN
43%
22%
36%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1954 |
DEN
1 - 2
NOR
75%
14%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |