Netherlands vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1919 |
NOR
1 - 1
NED
25%
22%
53%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1919 |
SWE
4 - 1
NED
43%
22%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1919 |
NED
3 - 1
SWE
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1914 |
DEN
4 - 3
NED
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1914 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1919 |
SWE
3 - 0
DEN
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1919 |
NOR
3 - 2
DEN
28%
24%
49%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1919 |
DEN
5 - 1
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1919 |
DEN
3 - 0
SWE
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1918 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
48%
22%
30%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |