Netherlands vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1998 |
BRA
1 - 1
NED
68%
18%
15%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1998 |
NED
2 - 1
ARG
54%
23%
23%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1998 |
NED
2 - 1
YUG
49%
23%
27%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1998 |
NED
2 - 2
MEX
72%
17%
11%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1998 |
NED
5 - 0
KOR
76%
15%
9%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1998 |
FRA
2 - 1
CRO
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1998 |
GER
0 - 3
CRO
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
0 - 1
CRO
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1998 |
ARG
1 - 0
CRO
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1998 |
JPN
0 - 1
CRO
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |