Netherlands vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
AUS
2 - 3
NED
10%
17%
74%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 5
NED
55%
22%
23%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
NED
2 - 0
WAL
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
NED
1 - 0
GHA
85%
12%
4%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
NED
1 - 1
ECU
74%
17%
9%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 2
CHI
72%
17%
10%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
AUS
63%
20%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
NIR
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 2
EGY
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
CHI
76%
15%
9%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |