Netherlands vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1969 |
NED
4 - 0
LUX
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
BGR
2 - 0
NED
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
LUX
0 - 2
NED
43%
21%
36%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1968 |
ROU
0 - 0
NED
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1968 |
NED
0 - 0
SCO
37%
24%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
CSK
1 - 0
DEN
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1968 |
CSK
8 - 0
THA
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
BGR
2 - 2
CSK
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1968 |
GTM
1 - 0
CSK
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
DEN
0 - 3
CSK
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |