Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
NED
2 - 4
BRD
35%
24%
42%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
54%
20%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
NED
0 - 0
SUI
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
NED
0 - 0
NIR
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
NIR
2 - 1
NED
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1965 |
BGR
2 - 1
BEL
47%
23%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
ISR
0 - 5
BEL
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
BEL
5 - 0
BGR
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
BGR
3 - 0
BEL
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1965 |
BRA
5 - 0
BEL
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |