Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
CSK
4 - 0
NED
67%
17%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
57%
19%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1960 |
SUR
3 - 4
NED
29%
20%
51%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1960 |
ANT
0 - 0
NED
37%
20%
44%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1960 |
MEX
3 - 1
NED
63%
18%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1961 |
FRA
1 - 1
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1961 |
GER
1 - 0
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
BEL
2 - 4
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
BEL
2 - 1
HUN
10%
15%
75%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
SWE
2 - 0
BEL
83%
10%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |