Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1957 |
NED
1 - 1
AUT
43%
22%
36%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
LUX
2 - 5
NED
46%
19%
35%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
AUT
3 - 2
NED
76%
13%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
60%
19%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1957 |
NED
1 - 2
BRD
48%
22%
30%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
BEL
0 - 0
FRA
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
ISL
2 - 5
BEL
38%
20%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1957 |
BEL
8 - 3
ISL
63%
17%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
BEL
1 - 0
ROU
65%
18%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
60%
19%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |